Solo box office tracking below Disney's other Star Wars movies

James Hibberd
Solo box office tracking below recent Star Wars movies
Solo box office tracking below recent Star Wars movies

Good news first? Bad news first?

The good: Solo: A Star Wars Story is tracking to quite possibly break all box office records for Memorial Day weekend.

The not-so-hot: Even the high range of the current estimate will place it below the opening weekends of The Force Awakens, The Last Jedi, and Rogue One.

Keep in mind, a tracking estimate is just that, an estimate, the same kind of estimate that Avengers: Infinity War recently blew out of the water during its opening weekend. The lowest previous Disney Star Wars title is Rogue One, which opened to $155 million — Solo could still top Rogue One if new film opens above its estimate.

But Disney is looking at a four-day weekend opening of $130 million-$150 million. Again, for this particular weekend, that’s crazy high. No film has ever opened above $140 million over Memorial Day weekend, as so many moviegoers are traveling or out and about. (The current record holder is Pirates of the Caribbean: At World’s End, with $139.8 million back in 2007.)

Plus, the studio points out that Solo is entering a pretty crowded marketplace at the moment, with Deadpool 2 having just opened and Avengers: Infinity War still printing money. The previous three Disney Star Wars titles all opened in mid-December. Plus, of course, Solo is landing just five months after Last Jedi, which is the shortest wait ever for a new Star Wars title.

Reviews have been largely quite positive, with a Rotten Tomatoes score of 71 percent. Again, that’s just a bit below Force Awakens (93 percent), Last Jedi (91 percent), and Rogue One (85 percent).

Solo: A Star Wars Story opens in the U.S. and Canada on Friday in 4,380 theaters, with previews starting at 7 p.m. Thursday. It’s also opening day-and-date globally in about 88 percent of the marketplace.