How Does Century Communities's (NYSE:CCS) P/E Compare To Its Industry, After The Share Price Drop?

Unfortunately for some shareholders, the Century Communities (NYSE:CCS) share price has dived 36% in the last thirty days. Indeed, the recent drop has reduced the annual gain to a relatively sedate 2.6% over the last twelve months.

All else being equal, a share price drop should make a stock more attractive to potential investors. While the market sentiment towards a stock is very changeable, in the long run, the share price will tend to move in the same direction as earnings per share. So, on certain occasions, long term focussed investors try to take advantage of pessimistic expectations to buy shares at a better price. One way to gauge market expectations of a stock is to look at its Price to Earnings Ratio (PE Ratio). A high P/E ratio means that investors have a high expectation about future growth, while a low P/E ratio means they have low expectations about future growth.

See our latest analysis for Century Communities

Does Century Communities Have A Relatively High Or Low P/E For Its Industry?

Century Communities's P/E of 6.58 indicates relatively low sentiment towards the stock. We can see in the image below that the average P/E (8.3) for companies in the consumer durables industry is higher than Century Communities's P/E.

NYSE:CCS Price Estimation Relative to Market, March 13th 2020
NYSE:CCS Price Estimation Relative to Market, March 13th 2020

This suggests that market participants think Century Communities will underperform other companies in its industry. Since the market seems unimpressed with Century Communities, it's quite possible it could surprise on the upside. You should delve deeper. I like to check if company insiders have been buying or selling.

How Growth Rates Impact P/E Ratios

Generally speaking the rate of earnings growth has a profound impact on a company's P/E multiple. Earnings growth means that in the future the 'E' will be higher. Therefore, even if you pay a high multiple of earnings now, that multiple will become lower in the future. Then, a lower P/E should attract more buyers, pushing the share price up.

It's great to see that Century Communities grew EPS by 14% in the last year. And it has bolstered its earnings per share by 29% per year over the last five years. With that performance, you might expect an above average P/E ratio.

Remember: P/E Ratios Don't Consider The Balance Sheet

One drawback of using a P/E ratio is that it considers market capitalization, but not the balance sheet. In other words, it does not consider any debt or cash that the company may have on the balance sheet. Hypothetically, a company could reduce its future P/E ratio by spending its cash (or taking on debt) to achieve higher earnings.

Such expenditure might be good or bad, in the long term, but the point here is that the balance sheet is not reflected by this ratio.

How Does Century Communities's Debt Impact Its P/E Ratio?

Net debt totals a substantial 138% of Century Communities's market cap. This is a relatively high level of debt, so the stock probably deserves a relatively low P/E ratio. Keep that in mind when comparing it to other companies.

The Bottom Line On Century Communities's P/E Ratio

Century Communities's P/E is 6.6 which is below average (13.3) in the US market. While the EPS growth last year was strong, the significant debt levels reduce the number of options available to management. If the company can continue to grow earnings, then the current P/E may be unjustifiably low. What can be absolutely certain is that the market has become more pessimistic about Century Communities over the last month, with the P/E ratio falling from 10.3 back then to 6.6 today. For those who prefer invest in growth, this stock apparently offers limited promise, but the deep value investors may find the pessimism around this stock enticing.

Investors have an opportunity when market expectations about a stock are wrong. If the reality for a company is not as bad as the P/E ratio indicates, then the share price should increase as the market realizes this. So this free visualization of the analyst consensus on future earnings could help you make the right decision about whether to buy, sell, or hold.

Of course you might be able to find a better stock than Century Communities. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have grown earnings strongly.

If you spot an error that warrants correction, please contact the editor at editorial-team@simplywallst.com. This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. Simply Wall St has no position in the stocks mentioned.

We aim to bring you long-term focused research analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Thank you for reading.